RichR
Premium Member
Registered: 17th Oct 01
Location: Waterhouses, Staffordshire
User status: Offline
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I did consider that it wasn't a monty hall paradox but discounted based on the fact that you find out what's in the box that you choose to open in the same way as you would in a monty hall example, it's just extended to 22 boxes instead of 3. After the penultimate round, there is more probability of the big prize being in the box in play rather than the box you have.
As for looking at the averaging figures, the reality if you get on the show is that you won't have the big winning box so you have a number of choices; for me it would be a toss up between playing right to the last round and then switching if offered or playing until I was above the £26k average but that's just me. The probabilities are such a long shot that it's not really predictable as its not as though you can count runs like you could with cards
[Edited on 21-01-2012 by LiVe LeE]
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