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Originally posted by will_doyle
what are the odds of you having £100,000 and £250,000 as the 2 last boxes on deal or no deal

one of them being your box you chose

there are 22 boxes

and before the game you have to chose randomly one of the boxes to be your box

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Originally posted by LiVe LeE
Also worth thinking about is that the mean average of the boxes is £25,700 (ish) and only 5 boxes contain above this amount; the odds are stacked against you winning big so if you play it as a game of chance, you may as well just pick blindly and you win what you win.

Any offer over £26,000 means you're more likely to be above what's in your box anyway so either play for an offer over that or play to the end with the intention of only ever having what is in your box.

Before round one you have a 2 in 22 chance of picking either £100k or £250k, You then have to look at the probability of picking one of those two numbers in the enxt rounds as opposed to looking at NOT picking them; in round one, you have a 2 in 21 chance of choosing the two big prizes; if they're still in play after this round, the odds of choosing them fall to 2 in 20, then 2 in 19, 2 in 18 and so on. As the game progresses you have a higher and higher chance of losing one of the top prizes.

What I can't remember is the way you link probabilities from one round into the next but it'll be an much higher figure of actually still having the last two prizes as you go into the last round.

However, if you're given the chance to swap in the last round, you're much better to swap than not because of something called the 'Monty Hall Paradox'

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Originally posted by Russ
would love to be a weirdo like pow and just look at that and know the answer is 797,233,340

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Originally posted by Pow
answer is 797,233,{you are not privileged to see this part of the answer due to profile restrictions}

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Originally posted by Russ
so did Lauren Pussey from what i've heard

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